Trump has all the headlines. I wrote a long post responding to Flaneur post but I can't be arsed to be honest. Suffice to say there's a lot of overlap between the groups he lists, Most Cubans live in Miami/Dade, I think Trump would carry Florida with or without them. Most Jewish people live in the NE. I think CT, MA, NY,NJ remain Blue with or without. them. Law enforcement, it's not like he's gaining anything or she's losing anything here.
Christians covers everyone from Come Armageddon Evangelicals to Catholic single issue voters to people simply born into a religion they don’t necessarily practice. Gen Z males a very worrying trend. I'd wager significantly more Gen Z females will vote than Gen Z males. Too busy watching Andrew Tate on You tube. I could go on, I can't be bothered. It will come down to who is the most energized to actually vote.
It sure feels like he'll win but no one really knows and the electoral college is a fucked up system anyway. Remember Clinton won 3,000,000 more votes than Trump and still lost.
“Roughly 244 million Americans will be eligible to vote in 2024. The 2020 election saw record turnout of 66.6% of eligible voters. If we see turnout that high again, more than 162 million ballots will be cast by November.”
